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SIGNET JEWELERS LTD (SIG)·Q2 2021 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 FY2021 revenue was $888.0M, down 34.9% year over year, with GAAP diluted EPS of $(1.73) and Non-GAAP diluted EPS of $(1.13). Same-store sales (SSS) fell 31.3% on store closures, but turned positive late in Q2; preliminary August SSS rose 10.9% and eCommerce grew 65.2% .
  • Digital-first pivot drove eCommerce growth of 72.1% YoY and new virtual selling at scale (300k+ consultations), with higher conversion and ATV; distribution throughput expanded 5x to prepare for holiday .
  • Gross margin rate compressed to 25.3% on deleverage and lower Extended Service Plan revenue recognition; SG&A fell materially due to lower labor and advertising; inventory decreased and liquidity strengthened to $1.20B cash .
  • Guidance remains suspended due to COVID-19 uncertainty; capex expected ~$85M (vs $143M in FY2020); common dividend suspended; store optimization ongoing (293 closures YTD) .
  • Near-term catalysts: improving comps into August, scaled virtual selling and 5x eComm fulfillment capacity for holiday, and structurally lower cost base; watch margin trajectory given clearance mix and ESP normalization timing .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Strong digital execution: eCommerce up 72.1% YoY; virtual consultations exceeded 300,000 with higher conversion and ATV; eCommerce penetration reached 30% during Q2 and ~20% in August as stores reopened .
  • Sequential comp improvement: SSS progressed from -68.5% in May to -1.3% in July; preliminary August SSS +10.9% and eCommerce +65.2% YoY; brick-and-mortar performance improved as 90% of stores reopened by mid-July .
  • Cost discipline and liquidity: Net structural cost savings on track to exceed $100M in FY21; inventory down $79M YoY; operating cash flow $156.1M; cash and equivalents of $1.20B .

Quote: “We scaled our new virtual selling model… enhanced our targeted digital marketing to a strong consumer response.” – CEO Gina Drosos .
Quote: “We are prepared to serve our customers… wherever and however they choose to shop this holiday season.” – CEO Gina Drosos .

What Went Wrong

  • Gross margin compression: GAAP gross margin 25.3% (down ~830 bps YoY) on fixed-cost deleverage and lower ESP revenue recognition; merchandise margin impacted by elevated clearance .
  • Earnings declined: GAAP operating loss $(89.7)M; Non-GAAP operating loss $(41.7)M; GAAP diluted EPS $(1.73); Non-GAAP $(1.13), reflecting restructuring and impairments .
  • International softness and store closures: International SSS -38.8%, brick-and-mortar SSS -54.6%; store count fell by 257 in Q2 and 293 YTD as footprint optimization accelerated .

Financial Results

Headline Results versus prior periods

MetricQ4 2020 (oldest)Q1 2021Q2 2021 (latest)
Revenue ($USD Millions)$2,153.3 $852.1 $888.0
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$3.14 $(3.83) $(1.73)
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$3.67 $(1.59) $(1.13)
GAAP Operating Margin %10.4% (34.2)% (10.1)%
GAAP Gross Margin ($USD Millions)$897.9 $204.2 $224.3
GAAP Gross Margin %41.7% 24.0% 25.3%
Non-GAAP Operating Margin %12.6% (16.7)% (4.7)%
Same-Store Sales (SSS) %2.3% (38.9)% (31.3)%
eCommerce Growth YoY %15.1% 6.7% 72.1%

Note on estimates: S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q2 2021 was unavailable due to data access limits; as a result, vs-estimate comparisons could not be provided (S&P Global consensus unavailable).

Segment Breakdown (Q2 2021)

SegmentSSS % Change YoYeCommerce Growth YoY %Brick-and-Mortar SSS % Change YoYSales ($USD Millions)GAAP Operating Income (Loss) ($M)Non-GAAP Operating Income (Loss) ($M)
North America(30.6)% 72.7% (45.3)% $823.0 $(57.0) $(12.0)
International(38.8)% 65.6% (54.6)% $61.0 $(15.6) $(11.8)
Othernm nm nm $4.0 $(0.2) $(0.2)
Corporate & Unallocated$(16.9) $(17.7)
Total(31.3)% 72.1% (46.0)% $888.0 $(89.7) $(41.7)

KPIs and Operating Metrics

KPIQ4 2020 (oldest)Q1 2021Q2 2021 (latest)
Payment Plan Participation (NA)47.0% 43.4% 40.2%
ATV change (NA)(0.5)% (6.5)% +2.0%
Transactions change (NA)+3.4% (34.5)% (28.1)%
eCommerce Penetration of Sales13.9% 30% (Q2); ~20% Aug
Monthly SSS progressionMay: (68.5)%; Jun: (21.8)%; Jul: (1.3)%; Aug prelim: +10.9%
Virtual Consultations300,000+
Store Reopening Scale~20% open by end-May; 75% end-Jun; 90% mid-Jul
Store Count3,208 3,172 2,915
Operating Cash Flow ($M)$(7.6) $156.1
Cash & Equivalents ($M)$374.5 $1,066.6 $1,204.0
Inventory ($M)$2,331.7 $2,392.2 $2,193.1

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Revenue/EPSH2 FY2021Not providedNot providing guidance due to COVID uncertainty Maintained suspension
Capital Expenditures ($M)FY2021~$85M expected vs $143M in FY2020 Lower vs prior year
Dividend (Common)FY2021Temporarily suspended (Q4 FY2020) Suspension maintained; preference dividend paid in kind (Nov) Maintained suspension
Store FootprintFY2021Close at least 380 stores (150 NA + 80 UK not reopening; plus ≥150 additional) 293 closures executed YTD; >90% of fleet open with safety protocols Execution progress
Liquidity/ABLPost-Q2Paid down $100M of ABL after quarter-end Deleveraging update

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2020 (older narrative)Q1 2021 (prior quarter)Q2 2021 (current)Trend
Digital/OmnichannelPrioritized digital investments and flexible fulfillment; best holiday in four years Accelerated digital-first pivot; eComm-only operations while stores closed; virtual selling established eCommerce +72%; virtual consultations 300k+; elevated eComm penetration (30% Q2; ~20% Aug); 5x distribution throughput Rapid acceleration and scaling
Virtual SellingEstablished dedicated team Scaled to >15,000 associates trained; higher conversion and ATV Material scale and impact
Footprint OptimizationLower occupancy costs and off-mall shift Announced ≥380 closures FY21 293 closures executed; shifting to off-mall and multi-banner tests (James Allen in Jared) Execution progressing
Supply Chain/ESP RevenueInventory repurposing; James Allen DC shutdown impacted eComm Design/service centers closed; ESP revenue recognition lower, impacting SSS ~450 bps ESP normalization later
MarketingMore balanced, digital mix; efficiencies Prospecting, influencer/social, PR; always-on digital strategy Digital precision increases
Macro/GuidanceCOVID-19 uncertainty; drew $900M ABL Guidance suspended Guidance suspended; acknowledged COVID, unemployment, supply chain risks Uncertainty maintained
Financing Options OnlineEnhanced leasing/one-time options; PLCC program Extending financing and extended service plans online ahead of holiday Added flexibility

Management Commentary

  • Strategic positioning: “We are seeing our strategic efforts yield results… same-store sales turned positive in mid-July… momentum continued into Q3” – CEO Gina Drosos .
  • Digital-first execution: “We expanded distribution throughput dedicated to online orders to 5 times that of holiday last year” – CEO Gina Drosos .
  • Cost and liquidity: “Net structural cost savings are on track to exceed $100 million in FY21… operating cash flow of $156.1 million” – Company release .
  • Safety and customer readiness: “Love Takes Care safety program… we are prepared to serve our customers this holiday wherever and however they choose to shop” – CEO Gina Drosos .

Q&A Highlights

  • eCommerce customer mix and ATV: 40% of purchases from new customers; virtual consults yielding higher conversion and higher ATV; younger, more multi-cultural customer profile .
  • Bridal demand: Strength both online and in-store; higher AUR; strong brands (Neil Lane, Le Vian, Vera Wang) and custom offerings (choose diamond/setting) .
  • Holiday readiness: Earlier product launches; 90% of SKUs BOPIS; automated ship-from-store; expanded credit and warranty online; marketing balanced across digital/social/linear; shipping costs planned .
  • Margins outlook: Merchandise margins pressured by clearance penetration; commitment to inventory discipline; no margin guidance given .

Estimates Context

  • S&P Global Wall Street consensus for Q2 FY2021 (EPS and revenue) was unavailable due to data access limits at query time; therefore, beat/miss vs consensus could not be determined (S&P Global consensus unavailable).
  • Management did not provide formal financial guidance for H2 FY2021 due to COVID-19 uncertainty .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Digital and virtual selling are driving structural share gains: eCommerce +72% YoY and 300k+ virtual consults with higher conversion/ATV suggest durable omni-channel strength heading into holiday .
  • Sequential comp momentum is notable: SSS improved from -68.5% in May to positive in late Q2; August prelim +10.9% indicates demand recovery, especially in bridal .
  • Margin watch: Gross margin compressed to 25.3% on deleverage and ESP revenue timing; clearance mix weighed on merchandise margins—monitor normalization of ESP and promotional cadence .
  • Liquidity and cost actions de-risk near term: $1.20B cash, inventory down $79M YoY, and >$100M net structural cost savings in FY21 support flexibility for continued digital investment .
  • Footprint reshaping continues: 293 closures executed, pivot to off-mall and multi-banner formats (James Allen within Jared) to lower occupancy costs and capture demand .
  • Holiday setup strong: 5x eComm throughput, 90% SKUs BOPIS, expanded financing online, and earlier launches position SIG well; execution is the near-term trading driver .
  • Guidance absent; estimates unavailable: With formal guidance suspended and consensus unavailable, focus on real-time demand signals (August comps, digital KPIs) and margin trajectory to gauge earnings power .